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Red50
248521.6
745912.4
749222.4
Blue88
14837.9
255724.0
541128.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47960204060801201405088

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7492
#21
22.40.4
21.121.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End8.1
blue by 15.5
148
#2
37.90.2
40.039.8
Auto4.6
Teleop25.9
End7.3
Second
2485
#37
21.60.4
16.516.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End2.0
blue by 6.4
28.00.2
27.727.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End7.2
Third
7459
#28
12.40.5
7.17.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 11.6
24.00.2
23.423.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed36%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned