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Red71
399114.5
752518.7
364731.7
Blue72
14837.9
97219.9
136924.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64884060801007172

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#23
31.70.7
31.932.6
Auto5.1
Teleop23.0
End3.6
blue by 6.2
148
#2
37.91.0
39.838.9
Auto4.6
Teleop25.9
End7.3
Second
7525
#32
18.70.7
14.715.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End3.2
blue by 5.5
1369
#26
24.11.0
24.423.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Third
3991
#57
14.50.7
14.214.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 5.4
972
#47
19.91.0
19.018.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
23%Rocket oddsEarned28%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsMissed