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Red44
141025.6
542717.7
241511.8
Blue58
427622.2
289816.8
742515.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6159203040507080901004458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#64
25.61.1
27.826.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 3.3
4276
#54
22.20.2
21.521.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Second
5427
#33
17.71.1
17.616.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 0.9
2898
#59
16.80.2
18.919.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End1.3
Third
2415
#63
11.81.1
12.411.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
blue by 4.1
7425
#22
15.90.2
15.415.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed