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Red95
541128.0
433622.5
461028.1
Blue91
23130.1
131827.2
630426.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738340601009591

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#43
28.11.7
23.024.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End3.6
blue by 1.9
231
#12
30.10.8
29.129.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Second
28.01.7
27.028.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End7.2
red by 0.8
1318
#24
27.20.8
25.526.4
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End7.3
Third
4336
#10
22.51.7
19.020.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
blue by 3.8
6304
#39
26.30.9
23.924.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned