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Red55
790611.8
602615.0
97219.9
Blue83
156610.1
29428.8
248521.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46592040801005583

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#47
19.90.3
18.018.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 9.0
294
#1
28.81.6
26.227.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End10.9
Second
6026
#35
15.00.3
14.614.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End4.1
blue by 6.6
2485
#37
21.61.6
18.320.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End2.0
Third
7906
#61
11.80.3
11.211.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End1.3
red by 1.7
1566
#41
10.11.6
10.912.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned