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Red50
602615.0
630426.3
636422.3
Blue54
542717.7
191218.9
264225.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63682040801005054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6304
#39
26.30.9
25.224.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End5.3
red by 1.2
2642
#15
25.11.3
27.025.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End6.6
Second
6364
#44
22.30.8
20.219.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 3.4
1912
#29
18.91.7
19.117.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Third
6026
#35
15.00.8
13.913.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End4.1
blue by 2.7
5427
#33
17.71.3
18.016.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsMissed