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Red77
740310.0
364731.7
541128.0
Blue78
555014.4
427622.2
373726.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776440506070901001107778

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#23
31.70.3
33.533.8
Auto5.1
Teleop23.0
End3.6
red by 5.5
3737
#27
26.11.1
25.827.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.0
End6.5
Second
28.00.3
28.729.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End7.2
red by 5.8
4276
#54
22.21.1
21.622.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.7
End3.8
Third
7403
#52
10.00.3
10.710.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End3.2
blue by 4.4
5550
#36
14.41.1
13.614.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
42%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsEarned