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Red78
496521.5
248521.6
165828.9
Blue84
35933.5
290720.4
400526.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73832040601001207884

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
#13
28.90.2
29.229.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End6.8
blue by 4.7
359
#5
33.50.1
34.434.6
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End9.5
Second
2485
#37
21.60.2
19.319.5
Auto5.0
Teleop14.7
End2.0
blue by 4.8
4005
#18
26.40.1
23.924.0
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End2.9
Third
4965
#34
21.50.2
21.121.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.4
End4.4
red by 1.1
2907
#58
20.40.1
20.720.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsEarned