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Red59
58511.3
690122.0
745819.6
Blue69
281315.6
241511.8
749222.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52512030406070805969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6901
#51
22.00.6
22.122.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End2.6
blue by 0.3
7492
#21
22.41.4
20.622.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End8.1
Second
7458
#55
19.60.6
17.618.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End6.5
red by 4.0
2813
#60
15.61.4
16.517.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Third
585
#42
11.30.6
9.910.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End2.8
blue by 0.5
2415
#63
11.81.4
11.312.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsEarned