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Red73
35933.5
494122.0
242913.7
Blue51
364731.7
131827.2
433622.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748340601001207351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#5
33.50.2
34.134.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End9.5
red by 1.9
3647
#23
31.72.0
33.631.5
Auto5.1
Teleop23.0
End3.6
Second
4941
#19
22.00.2
23.123.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.2
End3.0
blue by 5.2
1318
#24
27.22.0
26.324.3
Auto3.2
Teleop16.7
End7.3
Third
2429
#25
13.70.2
12.913.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 8.7
4336
#10
22.52.0
18.716.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsMissed