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Red86
745912.4
630426.3
29428.8
Blue80
385922.3
364731.7
281315.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677640601001208680

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#1
28.81.3
28.629.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.4
End10.9
blue by 2.8
3647
#23
31.70.3
33.233.5
Auto5.1
Teleop23.0
End3.6
Second
6304
#39
26.31.3
24.325.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End5.3
red by 4.0
3859
#40
22.30.3
21.221.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Third
7459
#28
12.41.3
10.611.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 3.2
2813
#60
15.60.3
17.918.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned