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Red72
742515.9
680323.7
125117.6
Blue63
191218.9
234123.1
533217.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576602040801007263

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#16
23.71.0
22.823.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End8.1
red by 0.6
2341
#38
23.10.1
24.224.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.7
End4.2
Second
1251
#30
17.61.0
15.616.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End5.4
blue by 1.3
1912
#29
18.90.1
19.819.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Third
7425
#22
15.91.0
15.316.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 2.0
5332
#45
17.90.1
18.118.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed