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Red29
394616.5
648912.8
497811.9
Blue35
599716.3
99893.8
709414.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443701020305060702935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3946
Unranked
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End4.6
red by 0.2
5997
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End1.9
Second
6489
Unranked
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto5.6
Teleop3.4
End3.8
blue by 1.9
7094
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
4978
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
red by 8.1
9989
Unranked
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking odds5%HAB Docking odds