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Red39
99893.8
192710.9
596514.6
Blue51
408720.8
99869.2
375311.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314402060801003951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5965
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End4.4
blue by 6.2
4087
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
Second
1927
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 1.0
3753
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Third
9989
Unranked
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 5.4
9986
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking odds68%HAB Docking odds