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Red42
408720.8
709414.6
222111.5
Blue51
410714.1
648912.8
384726.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505602040801001204251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End6.5
blue by 5.4
3847
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Second
7094
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 0.5
4107
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Third
2221
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 1.3
6489
Unranked
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto5.6
Teleop3.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds19%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking odds19%HAB Docking odds