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Red36
99869.2
299222.6
596514.6
Blue43
586312.0
208016.9
384726.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495802040801001203643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End7.4
blue by 3.7
3847
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Second
5965
Unranked
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.1
End4.4
blue by 2.2
2080
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Third
9986
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 2.8
5863
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds13%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking odds23%HAB Docking odds