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Red76
218316.8
191218.9
497811.9
Blue80
999210.1
384726.3
99869.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060807680

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
blue by 7.3
3847
Unranked
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Second
2183
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.5
red by 6.7
9992
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
4978
Unranked
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End3.9
red by 2.7
9986
Unranked
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End2.6