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Red1
34219.2
205916.6
129317.2
Blue0
99906.0
99891.0
99959.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58200408010012010

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#16
19.21.2
19.718.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 9.3
9995
Unranked
9.90.7
10.69.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Second
1293
#10
17.21.2
17.716.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End2.6
red by 11.2
9990
Unranked
6.00.7
6.66.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Third
16.61.2
17.115.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End7.2
red by 15.6
9989
Unranked
1.00.6
1.61.0
Auto1.5
Teleop-0.6
End0.0