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Red62
349022.7
350619.6
99979.0
Blue36
34219.2
496516.9
453313.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526102040801006236

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.9
21.922.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End8.5
red by 3.5
342
#16
19.21.5
23.922.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Second
19.60.9
22.323.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.0
End3.0
red by 2.7
4965
#17
16.91.5
20.218.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Third
9.00.9
4.85.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End2.1
blue by 4.1
4533
#12
13.11.5
13.912.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed