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Red45
40839.8
99998.4
205916.6
Blue42
34219.2
349022.7
15536.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3857020801004542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.4
19.920.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End7.2
blue by 6.2
22.71.2
22.721.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End8.5
Second
4083
#20
9.80.4
10.410.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 9.4
342
#16
19.21.2
22.421.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
8.41.6
4.46.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
red by 2.1
1553
#24
6.31.2
9.27.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned69%HAB Docking oddsMissed