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Red53
99998.4
99983.1
34219.2
Blue17
496516.9
205916.6
17586.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500204060805317

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#16
19.21.6
21.222.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 2.3
4965
#17
16.92.0
19.117.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Second
8.41.9
6.07.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
blue by 8.1
16.62.0
20.318.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End7.2
Third
9998
#14
3.12.6
1.03.6
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.3
End-0.5
blue by 3.1
1758
#18
6.22.0
8.16.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsMissed