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Red46
28311.4
789018.2
34219.2
Blue40
496516.9
40839.8
281511.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604120801004640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#16
19.20.7
22.722.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 2.3
4965
#17
16.90.1
17.117.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Second
18.20.7
20.820.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.0
End4.4
red by 6.3
2815
#19
11.90.1
11.511.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
283
#21
11.40.7
13.512.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End2.4
red by 1.6
4083
#20
9.80.1
9.89.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed