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Red38
445126.5
99983.1
496516.9
Blue23
15536.3
453313.1
493512.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54422060801003823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.51.3
29.328.0
Auto2.6
Teleop16.8
End7.1
red by 13.4
4533
#12
13.11.3
15.113.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Second
4965
#17
16.91.3
21.520.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.0
End3.3
red by 4.9
4935
#13
12.01.1
13.412.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Third
9998
#14
3.11.4
0.9-0.6
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.3
End-0.5
blue by 3.2
1553
#24
6.31.4
11.410.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed