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Red59
445124.4
402025.4
502217.2
Blue62
261417.1
37924.9
382419.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726340506080905962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.3
25.725.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End7.0
red by 0.5
379
#4
24.90.1
24.524.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End8.7
Second
24.40.3
24.624.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End7.3
red by 5.0
3824
#42
19.30.1
18.919.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Third
5022
#19
17.20.3
17.517.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
red by 0.1
2614
#50
17.10.1
16.716.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End4.0