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Red51
616710.5
715219.7
349021.2
Blue55
636614.8
28118.0
136915.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373835404550555155

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.8
13.014.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End7.6
red by 3.1
281
#15
18.02.1
11.914.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.4
Second
7152
#22
19.71.8
13.114.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.8
End6.4
red by 4.0
1369
#14
15.72.1
12.414.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.6
Third
6167
#58
10.51.8
8.710.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 4.4
6366
#36
14.82.1
11.914.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned