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Red49
90011.0
128718.5
707217.8
Blue20
28311.8
474810.7
54109.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060801004920

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.7
16.216.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End4.0
red by 6.7
283
#31
11.81.9
12.610.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Second
7072
#20
17.80.7
14.615.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.4
red by 7.0
4748
#25
10.71.9
10.08.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Third
900
#52
11.00.7
8.89.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
red by 2.0
5410
#62
9.01.9
11.29.3
Auto4.9
Teleop1.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed