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Red25
636614.8
10817.6
57778.4
Blue34
450414.2
36516.7
153913.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383110205060702534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#12
17.61.2
13.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End5.1
red by 3.4
4504
#18
14.20.5
13.413.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Second
6366
#36
14.81.2
14.012.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End4.2
red by 1.9
1539
#34
13.00.5
10.911.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Third
5777
#59
8.41.2
8.57.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End4.0
red by 1.6
3651
#48
6.70.5
5.35.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed