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Red34
662613.3
26317.8
74898.9
Blue65
239320.5
128718.5
28118.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32501020406070803465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#40
17.80.4
15.115.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 2.7
2393
#11
20.51.7
16.117.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End6.8
Second
6626
#51
13.30.4
9.09.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
blue by 5.2
18.51.7
16.918.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Third
7489
#44
8.90.4
6.56.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.7
End3.1
blue by 9.1
281
#15
18.01.7
13.915.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsEarned