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Red26
69616.1
662613.3
450414.2
Blue40
622211.8
458213.1
42437.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33291520254045502640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4504
#18
14.20.6
13.813.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
red by 1.1
4582
#30
13.11.4
11.512.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
6626
#51
13.30.6
9.48.8
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
red by 1.5
6222
#33
11.81.4
8.710.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End5.9
Third
6961
#64
6.10.6
8.57.8
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End2.7
blue by 1.1
4243
#47
7.21.4
7.38.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed