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Red27
26317.8
42437.2
616710.5
Blue29
708512.1
28311.8
51307.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4134202530455055602729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#40
17.81.3
15.714.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 5.7
7085
#28
12.10.4
11.010.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Second
6167
#58
10.51.3
14.413.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 1.4
283
#31
11.80.4
12.812.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
4243
#47
7.21.3
8.77.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.6
blue by 0.1
5130
#39
7.30.4
8.48.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed