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Red43
37924.9
57778.4
707217.8
Blue39
129321.7
34899.9
622211.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463920305060704339

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#4
24.90.1
21.221.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End8.7
red by 3.2
1293
#10
21.70.1
18.418.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End4.4
Second
7072
#20
17.80.1
16.816.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.4
red by 5.9
6222
#33
11.80.1
9.99.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End5.9
Third
5777
#59
8.40.1
5.85.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End4.0
blue by 1.5
3489
#45
9.90.1
9.08.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed