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Red55
190220.2
400518.9
48475.3
Blue56
662613.3
708512.1
8622.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060805556

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#29
20.21.5
17.519.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 2.1
86
#6
22.21.5
17.819.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Second
4005
#23
18.91.5
16.718.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 5.6
6626
#51
13.31.6
10.311.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Third
4847
#63
5.31.5
6.47.8
Auto0.3
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
blue by 6.8
7085
#28
12.11.5
10.612.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsEarned