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Red26
48236.9
450414.2
281511.4
Blue49
496518.9
128718.5
34899.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34481020304060702649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4504
#18
14.20.6
14.213.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 4.7
4965
#13
18.90.4
18.218.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
Second
2815
#32
11.40.6
12.111.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 7.2
18.50.4
18.518.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Third
4823
#56
6.90.6
5.95.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End3.2
blue by 2.9
3489
#45
9.90.4
8.99.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed