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Red28
136915.7
71079.0
502217.2
Blue37
474810.7
402025.4
397610.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147102030406070802837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5022
#19
17.22.7
17.715.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 8.2
25.40.7
23.923.1
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End7.0
Second
1369
#14
15.72.7
17.915.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End4.6
red by 5.0
4748
#25
10.70.7
10.69.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Third
7107
#21
9.02.9
12.59.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End0.7
blue by 1.3
3976
#16
10.20.7
9.79.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed71%HAB Docking oddsMissed