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Red8
40759.3
314013.6
74099.9
Blue41
502217.2
239320.5
547218.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394510203050841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#24
13.63.2
14.711.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End3.4
blue by 7.0
2393
#11
20.50.2
14.614.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End6.8
Second
7409
#53
9.98.9
15.86.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End3.0
blue by 8.0
18.00.2
15.615.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Third
4075
#41
9.33.2
12.39.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 8.0
5022
#19
17.20.2
12.612.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed