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Red40
281511.4
90011.0
496518.9
Blue57
153913.0
129321.7
502217.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434902060804057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#13
18.90.1
18.518.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.7
blue by 2.9
1293
#10
21.71.0
19.720.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End4.4
Second
2815
#32
11.40.1
11.511.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 5.9
5022
#19
17.21.0
15.016.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
900
#52
11.00.1
11.111.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 2.0
1539
#34
13.01.0
12.013.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed