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Red35
458213.1
239320.5
36516.7
Blue42
474810.7
2115.9
40839.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453510203040506070803542

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#11
20.51.0
20.419.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End6.8
red by 4.6
21
#17
15.90.9
15.015.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End6.0
Second
4582
#30
13.11.0
14.113.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 2.3
4748
#25
10.70.9
9.910.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.9
Third
3651
#48
6.71.0
7.76.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End1.5
blue by 2.2
4083
#37
9.00.9
8.19.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed