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Red45
8622.2
105121.2
190220.2
Blue67
261417.1
37924.9
382419.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706440506080904567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#6
22.20.8
23.122.2
Auto3.3
Teleop13.6
End5.3
blue by 2.7
379
#4
24.90.3
24.624.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End8.7
Second
21.20.8
22.121.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End7.4
red by 1.9
3824
#42
19.30.3
19.018.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Third
1902
#29
20.20.8
21.020.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 3.1
2614
#50
17.10.3
16.816.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End4.0