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Red65
332429.7
20319.6
447625.9
Blue107
357229.7
335728.4
414518.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828165707585909510010565107

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3324
#34
29.70.8
30.429.6
Auto4.7
Teleop20.1
End4.8
blue by 0.1
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto3.4
Teleop17.9
End8.4
Second
4476
#40
25.90.8
27.526.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
blue by 2.6
3357
#12
28.40.0
27.327.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Third
203
#35
19.60.8
19.718.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 0.9
4145
#49
18.70.0
19.919.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed21%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned