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Red72
61032.5
491729.9
37926.8
Blue77
253428.0
362027.2
128524.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96867080901001101207277

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#9
32.51.3
32.331.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End6.8
red by 4.5
2534
#16
28.00.3
28.227.9
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End7.4
Second
4917
#11
29.91.3
30.629.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End6.8
red by 2.7
27.20.3
28.127.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Third
379
#14
26.81.3
28.427.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End8.8
red by 2.0
24.80.3
24.724.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
22%Rocket oddsMissed11%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned