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Red89
540129.0
253428.0
115329.7
Blue81
696421.2
319725.9
97727.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90775060701001101208981

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#23
29.70.1
29.329.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End7.2
red by 2.1
977
#58
27.60.5
27.027.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
Second
5401
#44
29.00.1
27.827.9
Auto5.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
red by 3.1
3197
#38
25.90.5
25.425.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End7.1
Third
2534
#16
28.00.1
27.928.0
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End7.4
red by 6.8
6964
#67
21.20.5
20.721.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsEarned