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Red56
558511.7
432923.7
216833.3
Blue69
362027.2
357229.7
542216.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75780501001502005669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#30
33.31.0
33.432.4
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End6.7
red by 3.5
29.70.3
29.729.4
Auto3.4
Teleop17.9
End8.4
Second
4329
#41
23.71.0
24.723.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End7.9
blue by 3.5
27.20.3
27.827.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.2
End7.6
Third
5585
#66
11.71.0
12.711.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End3.1
blue by 4.3
5422
#64
16.00.3
16.316.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
27%Rocket oddsMissed30%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned