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Red69
490720.3
331322.4
22918.5
Blue87
398630.5
657425.7
335728.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638740801001206987

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#53
22.40.6
21.822.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.4
End5.4
blue by 8.1
3986
#25
30.50.3
29.229.5
Auto4.9
Teleop19.8
End5.8
Second
4907
#32
20.30.6
20.220.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End7.2
blue by 8.1
3357
#12
28.40.3
27.728.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End3.8
Third
229
#59
18.50.6
17.918.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.6
blue by 7.2
6574
#52
25.70.3
25.425.7
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed53%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned70%HAB Docking oddsEarned