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Red89
561827.9
459022.3
54826.8
Blue75
216833.3
97727.6
657425.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799240601001201408975

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5618
#21
27.91.1
26.127.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End8.2
blue by 5.4
2168
#30
33.31.0
36.034.9
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End6.7
Second
548
#37
26.80.9
30.231.2
Auto5.1
Teleop18.6
End3.1
blue by 0.8
977
#58
27.61.0
28.727.7
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
Third
4590
#20
22.30.9
18.519.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End6.3
blue by 3.5
6574
#52
25.71.0
22.921.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned72%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned