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Red90
335728.4
245127.6
97727.6
Blue57
491729.9
83426.1
22918.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848240601001209057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#12Sur
28.40.7
26.927.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End3.8
blue by 1.5
4917
#11
29.91.4
30.228.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End6.8
Second
2451
#33
27.60.7
25.326.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End6.5
red by 1.5
834
#36
26.11.4
27.626.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.3
End7.6
Third
977
#58
27.60.7
27.728.3
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 9.0
229
#59Sur
18.51.4
19.518.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
30%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed87%HAB Docking oddsMissed