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Red100
128524.8
34634.6
216833.3
Blue52
245127.6
162926.1
593421.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9580406010012014010052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#7
34.60.5
31.331.7
Auto5.2
Teleop20.6
End8.8
red by 7.0
2451
#33
27.61.6
26.424.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End6.5
Second
2168
#30
33.30.5
35.536.0
Auto5.1
Teleop21.5
End6.7
red by 7.2
1629
#27
26.11.6
27.125.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End7.9
Third
24.80.5
23.123.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End7.1
red by 3.3
5934
#54
21.52.1
21.819.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
47%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsMissed