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Red59
447625.9
33321.0
108618.6
Blue65
493918.0
561827.9
490720.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706640506080901005965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#40
25.90.5
27.026.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.8
End4.6
blue by 2.1
5618
#21
27.90.0
27.227.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End8.2
Second
333
#48
21.00.5
22.221.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.7
End3.1
red by 0.7
4907
#32
20.30.0
18.318.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Third
1086
#57
18.60.5
16.816.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.3
End5.8
red by 0.6
4939
#43
18.00.0
17.217.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned