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Red71
398630.5
33321.0
746020.5
Blue79
696421.2
128524.8
52531.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718040601001207179

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#25
30.50.2
27.527.8
Auto4.9
Teleop19.8
End5.8
blue by 0.6
525
#3
31.10.2
32.132.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End8.9
Second
333
#48
21.00.2
21.721.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.7
End3.1
blue by 3.7
24.80.2
24.224.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End7.1
Third
7460
#62
20.50.2
18.218.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.3
End4.5
blue by 0.8
6964
#67
21.20.2
19.319.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed95%HAB Docking oddsEarned