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Red70
20319.6
481715.9
245127.6
Blue69
432923.7
34123.0
157728.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638120401001207069

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#33
27.60.7
26.327.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.9
End6.5
blue by 0.6
1577
#17
28.20.5
26.826.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.8
End7.9
Second
203
#35
19.60.7
19.019.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 4.1
4329
#41
23.70.5
29.128.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End7.9
Third
4817
#68
15.90.7
14.415.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End4.2
blue by 7.1
341
#13
23.00.5
20.720.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned