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Red63
493918.0
632816.2
398630.5
Blue60
785015.7
593421.5
97727.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647240801006360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#25
30.50.0
27.827.8
Auto4.9
Teleop19.8
End5.8
red by 3.0
977
#58
27.61.2
29.828.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.0
End4.5
Second
4939
#43
18.00.0
17.417.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End5.7
blue by 3.5
5934
#54
21.51.2
22.020.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End4.3
Third
6328
#61
16.20.0
15.115.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 0.4
7850
#63
15.71.2
16.715.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsMissed